Where the Wisconsin Market Stands
Wisconsin homeowners insurance followed the national pattern of sustained rate pressure through 2023–2025, driven by elevated weather losses, rising rebuild costs, and a tightening reinsurance market. As of mid-2026, our tracker shows a market in transition: of the six carriers with confirmed rate actions, one is cutting, three are raising, and two are holding flat. That split tells a story of carriers at different stages of their loss ratio recovery — some still chasing adequacy, others already there.
Branch's -20% average decrease, effective February 2026, is the most notable move in this tracker and one of the largest homeowners rate cuts confirmed anywhere in the Midwest this cycle. It is the clearest signal that at least one carrier has achieved the loss ratio improvement it was targeting when it tightened rates in prior years.
| Carrier | Direction | Magnitude | Effective (NB / Ren) | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Branch | Cut: Cut | -20% | NB: Feb 13, 2026 Ren: Mar 30, 2026 | Carrier bulletin + SERFF BRFI-134821941 |
| Nationwide | Flat: Flat | 0% | NB: Dec 7, 2025 Ren: Mar 12, 2026 | SERFF NWPP-G134769385 |
| Liberty Mutual / Safeco | Raise: Raise | +2.3% | Ren: Apr 2, 2026 | SERFF LBPM-134813978 |
| Allstate | Raise: Raise | +11.1% | NB: Jan 20, 2026 | SERFF ALSE-134806030 |
| State Farm | Flat: Flat | 0% | NB: Dec 1, 2025 Ren: Feb 1, 2026 | SERFF SFMA-134687052 |
| Farmers | Raise: Raise | +5.0% | NB: Apr 26, 2026 Ren: Jun 7, 2026 | SERFF FARM-134889541 |
- DirectionCut: CutMagnitude -20%EffectiveNB: Feb 13, 2026Ren: Mar 30, 2026Source Carrier bulletin + SERFF BRFI-134821941
- NationwideDirectionFlat: FlatMagnitude 0%EffectiveNB: Dec 7, 2025Ren: Mar 12, 2026Source SERFF NWPP-G134769385
- Liberty Mutual / SafecoDirectionRaise: RaiseMagnitude +2.3%EffectiveRen: Apr 2, 2026Source SERFF LBPM-134813978
- AllstateDirectionRaise: RaiseMagnitude +11.1%EffectiveNB: Jan 20, 2026Source SERFF ALSE-134806030
- State FarmDirectionFlat: FlatMagnitude 0%EffectiveNB: Dec 1, 2025Ren: Feb 1, 2026Source SERFF SFMA-134687052
- FarmersDirectionRaise: RaiseMagnitude +5.0%EffectiveNB: Apr 26, 2026Ren: Jun 7, 2026Source SERFF FARM-134889541
Why Rates Are Moving
Branch's -20% reduction reflects a completed actuarial cycle — the carrier raised rates aggressively in 2023–2024, achieved its loss ratio target in Wisconsin, and is now sharpening price to retain and grow its book. The bulletin to appointed agents noted that the future effective date discount is being removed at the same time, replaced by stronger base rates — a sign of structural confidence in the new rate level rather than a temporary promotional cut.
Allstate is moving in the opposite direction, filing an +11.1% overall increase effective January 2026. Farmers followed at +5.0% effective April 2026, well below their actuarial indication of +16.3% — a filing strategy that suggests competitive restraint even as their loss experience continues to pressure rates. Liberty Mutual filed a modest +2.3% base rate increase effective April 2026, also significantly below their +15.3% actuarial indication.
Nationwide and State Farm both filed at 0% net rate change — but neither filing was a non-event. Nationwide overhauled its entire Wisconsin rating plan, introducing a new GLM-based Precision Plus system with territory-level grid pricing and new aerial imagery variables. State Farm restructured its Customer Rating Index model and introduced new Wind/Hail deductible options. Both carriers are repricing risk within their books without taking overall rate, which means individual policyholders may see meaningful changes at renewal even as the statewide average holds flat.
If you have a Wisconsin renewal coming, the spread between carriers — from a -20% cut at Branch to an +11.1% increase at Allstate — makes a comparative quote more valuable than in a uniform market. A side-by-side quote is the fastest way to see where your current rate lands relative to the field.
