Where the Ohio Market Stands
Ohio homeowners insurance is finally turning a corner — but it has been a painful few years getting here. Ohio rates climbed an average of 36.4% from 2019 through 2024, according to industry data. Loss ratios ran above 100% in both 2022 and 2023, meaning carriers paid out more in claims than they collected in premium. By 2024, the combined ratio had pulled back to 92%, signaling a return to underwriting profitability — and that's exactly what's driving the rate cuts you see in the grid below.
The carrier moves below reflect approved filings and territory-manager communications crossing our agency. Use them alongside your renewal paperwork, not as a quote — your specific property, location, and claims history still drive the final number.
| Carrier | Direction | Magnitude | Effective (NB / Ren) | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Branch | Cut: Cut | -20% avg (up to -40% in select regions) | NB: Oct 30, 2025 Ren: Dec 9, 2025 | Filing + carrier bulletin |
| Safeco | Cut: Cut | -10% total (two separate filings) | NB: Oct 15, 2025 | Territory manager |
| Nationwide | Cut: Cut | — | NB: May 10, 2026 Ren: Jun 1, 2026 | Filing |
| Allstate | Cut: Cut | -17% avg (2025) | — | Carrier earnings report |
| State Farm | Raise: Raise | — | — | Industry filings |
| Farmers | Raise: Raise | +22.4% filed | — | SERFF filing (Jun 2024) |
- BranchDirectionCut: CutMagnitude -20% avg (up to -40% in select regions)EffectiveNB: Oct 30, 2025Ren: Dec 9, 2025Source Filing + carrier bulletin
- SafecoDirectionCut: CutMagnitude -10% total (two separate filings)EffectiveNB: Oct 15, 2025Source Territory manager
- NationwideDirectionCut: CutMagnitude —EffectiveNB: May 10, 2026Ren: Jun 1, 2026Source Filing
- AllstateDirectionCut: CutMagnitude -17% avg (2025)Effective—Source Carrier earnings report
- State FarmDirectionRaise: RaiseMagnitude —Effective—Source Industry filings
- FarmersDirectionRaise: RaiseMagnitude +22.4% filedEffective—Source SERFF filing (Jun 2024)
Why Rates Are Moving
From 2019 through 2024, Ohio homeowners saw some of the steepest rate increases in the country. Ohio's effective rate change was 10.2% in 2023 and 10.9% in 2024 — both just above the national average, and piled on top of years of prior increases. Nationally, homeowners premiums rose more than 11% in 2023 alone.
Two forces drove the spike. First, catastrophe losses — severe hail and tornado activity pushed loss ratios into unprofitable territory for consecutive years. Ohio regularly ranks among the most tornado-active states in the Midwest, and hail damage alone generates the majority of property claims in central and western Ohio. Second, roofing and rebuild costs: roofing materials costs more than doubled since 2020, meaning that even modest storm damage translated into claims far larger than carriers had priced. Ohio's effective rate change of 10.2% in 2023 and 10.9% in 2024 reflected those pressures directly — both years running just above the national average increase.
With combined ratios back below 100% in 2024, carriers have room to compete again. Branch led the market with filings showing average cuts of 20% — up to 40% in select regions. Safeco followed with a combined 10% reduction across two separate filings. Nationwide's Depositors Insurance Company filed a cut effective for new business May 10, 2026 and renewals June 1, 2026, with magnitude not yet disclosed in public filings.
What This Means for Ohio Homeowners
If your renewal is coming up in the next 60 to 90 days, this is a better shopping window than anything we've seen since 2021. The carriers cutting rates are doing so to win back market share — which means new business pricing is often sharper than what existing customers see at renewal. If you've been with the same carrier for three or more years and absorbed the full run-up, it's worth running a fresh quote stack.
One thing to watch: Coverage A creep. Both examples below are real anonymized policies from our Ohio book — same carrier, same home, multiple consecutive renewals. The premium increases look dramatic, but a meaningful share of the cost came from the carrier escalating the dwelling limit each year to keep pace with rebuild costs. That's not a scam; it protects you from being underinsured after a total loss. But it means you can't compare quotes on price alone — Coverage A has to match.
Nationwide HO3 — Franklin County
Same home, same address, four consecutive renewals — no moves, no claims filed. Loss ratios above 100% in 2022–2023 drove the spike; the 2025 renewal came in slightly lower as the market stabilized.
| Year | Annual Premium | Coverage A | YoY Premium Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $1,860 | $156,400 | — |
| 2023 | $2,496 | $186,300 | +34% |
| 2024 | $2,603 | $186,300 | +4% |
| 2025 | $2,507 | $189,291 | −4% |
Safeco HO3 — Central Ohio
Same home, same address, five consecutive renewals — no moves, no claims filed. Coverage A climbed $111,400 over four years — nearly a third of the total premium increase reflects higher dwelling limits, not just rate hikes.
| Year | Annual Premium | Coverage A | YoY Premium Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $807 | $340,600 | — |
| 2023 | $1,111 | $388,300 | +38% |
| 2024 | $1,948 | $388,300 | +75% |
| 2025 | $1,905 | $394,600 | −2% |
| 2026 | $2,445 | $452,000 | +28% |
What the Captive Carriers Are Doing
Not every carrier in Ohio is cutting rates. The carriers above — Branch, Safeco, and Nationwide — are independent carriers we represent and shop on your behalf. The picture looks different at the large captive carriers, where one agent represents one company and has no ability to shop the market for you.
State Farm's homeowners combined ratio ran near 108 in 2025, meaning they paid out roughly $1.08 in claims and expenses for every $1.00 collected in premium. They are still working to recover losses — not in a position to cut rates. Farmers filed for a 22.4% rate increase in Ohio in mid-2024, affecting approximately 115,700 Ohio policyholders across their Smart Plan and Next Generation homeowners programs. That filing cited nearly $25.4 million in Ohio losses in 2023 alone. Rate filings for all carriers are public record and searchable through SERFF Filing Access.
This is the core reason independent agents exist. When the carrier you're with is raising rates, we can move you. When they're cutting, we can confirm you're already getting the best deal. Captive agents — State Farm, Farmers, and similar — can only offer you what their one company is filing. We shop the market every time. If you want to understand what homeowners insurance actually covers before you shop, that's a good place to start.
